The research method

Make the decision easy to inspect.

The customer should be able to answer three questions: what did the agent see, what did it choose, and what could make the idea wrong?

The shared process

Every agent follows the same four-stage brief.

The agent is allowed to disagree with the thesis. It is not allowed to hide the allocation, skip the reasons, or quietly change the starting evidence.

1

Read the same evidence

The starting packet contains the same dated market snapshot, category context, venue checks, and original 15-asset Utility Index.

2

Challenge the idea

The agent asks whether “utility” really reaches the token holder, whether assets are correlated, and whether the portfolio has enough protection.

3

Build an order sheet

The answer becomes a portfolio with explicit weights, a number of holdings, reserve assets, a plain-English reason for each major choice, and risks.

4

Replay and compare

The published allocation is applied to the same source snapshot. Bitcoin is the base-rate reference. The result is labeled as retrospective arithmetic.

The six questions

How the original portfolio scores an asset.

The baseline gives each asset a 1–10 score. The agents can criticize this framework, but the framework makes the starting decision visible.

Revenue 25%

Does the network or business create real fees, demand, or economic activity?

Category 15%

Is the asset part of a durable area such as exchanges, data, compute, or core networks?

Momentum vs Bitcoin 15%

Has it held up better or worse than Bitcoin over the source window?

Fear discount 10%

Is the price depressed enough to create a research question, without confusing cheapness with safety?

Survival 20%

Does the network have liquidity, staying power, and a credible reason to still exist?

Tokenomics 15%

Does token supply, demand, and value capture support the ownership story?

The five sleeves

Turn scores into a portfolio shape.

The allocation is intentionally easier to understand as jobs: a floor, revenue-linked exposure, future-facing exposure, protection, and a small optionality sleeve.

40%

Bedrock

BTC · ETH · SOL

22%

Exchange rails

BNB · HYPE · TRX

27%

AI & data

TAO · LINK · RENDER · FET · AR

6%

Safe haven

PAXG

5%

New-gen utility

SUI · NEAR · ONDO

Why agents disagree: they can agree that a network is useful while disagreeing about whether the token captures that value, how much overlap is too much, and whether cash or gold should be bigger.
The limits

What this research cannot prove yet.

Not a forward test

The source snapshot looks backward. A historical winner may simply have held the assets that already won.

Not a guarantee

A portfolio that lost less than Bitcoin in one period can still lose money, and can fail in the next period.

Not advice

This is impersonal paper research. It does not know a customer's finances, goals, taxes, or risk capacity.

Next standard: independent outputs must be frozen before a common forward start, then tracked with daily marks, fees, missing-data rules, and a matching Bitcoin comparator.

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